gg2

Heat deaths in England since 1988

Archived — this story has rotated out of today’s deck. It is kept here in full.

The gist

ONS data shows over 40,000 heat-related deaths in England since 1988. The toll is rising, with this summer on track to set records.

Background

The Office for National Statistics published new estimates on Wednesday showing that over 40,000 deaths in England between 1988 and 2025 were associated with the hottest temperatures. The analysis, based on 38 years of climate and mortality data, found that people aged 65 and over face at least a 50% increased mortality risk at temperatures above 24C. The figures do not include this summer's heatwaves, which have already caused thousands of deaths and are expected to push the total higher.

How it unfolded

  1. Jul 30, 2026UK Health Security Agency announces estimated 2,877 deaths in May and June heatwaves alone.
  2. Aug 26, 2026ONS publishes data showing over 40,000 heat-related deaths in England between 1988 and 2025.
  3. recentlyLondon ambulance service handles 25,000 more calls this summer than last, surpassing Covid peak.

Who’s saying what

Official
ONS officials warn this summer is on track to set further records for heat-related deaths.
Analysts
Experts note the gap between heat and cold-related deaths is closing, indicating rising heat impact.

Sources

See today’s stories in the app gg2 — free on the App Store