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Texas Senate race polling
The gist
Multiple September polls show Democrat James Talarico leading Republican Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate race.
The varied results leave the race's true competitiveness unclear with the Nov.
How it unfolded
- Sep 8, 2026 -10, 2026Mason-Dixon Polling and Research Inc. surveyed 625 Texas voters; its poll, released Sept. 15, showed Talarico ahead of Paxton 46% to 43%.
- Sep 8, 2026 -11, 2026ReconMR Texas Poll of 614 likely voters found Talarico leading Paxton 49% to 43%, a slight increase over his four-point lead in a July poll.
- Sep 9, 2026An N+ Univision poll showed Talarico with an edge at 48% to 43%.