Polls show Democrats leading US midterm races days before Nov 3 vote
The gist
A RealClearPolling average has Democrats leading Republicans 51.5 percent to 43.1 percent in the final stretch.
Control of the House looks near-certain for Democrats; the Senate is far less clear.
How it unfolded
- Oct 27, 2026An NPR/PBS News/Marist poll finds Democrats retain significant midterm advantages and are favorites to win the House, with signs a potential wave could be limited.
- Oct 28, 2026An Emerson College/Nexstar Media poll in Kansas shows Democrat Adam Hamilton at 48.7% to Republican Senator Roger Marshall's 45.2%; an ActiVote poll in Texas shows Democrat James Talarico at 52.1% to Republican Ken Paxton's 47.9%.
- Oct 29, 2026A national THP/MM survey conducted October 28 and 29 puts Democrats ahead 54 percent to 41 percent.