Polls show Democrat El-Sayed narrowly leading Rogers in Michigan Senate race
The gist
A WDIV/Detroit News poll put Democrat Abdul El-Sayed at 51.4% to Republican Mike Rogers' 45.1% in Michigan.
Democrats need four Senate seats, so this open-seat race carries outsized weight.
How it unfolded
- Sep 2026A New York Times/Siena survey found El-Sayed leading Rogers by 5 percentage points, 49.5% to 44.5%.
- Oct 4, 2026A YouGov survey of 3,947 likely voters ended with El-Sayed at 49% to Rogers' 48%.
- Oct 10, 2026An InsiderAdvantage poll of 1,200 likely voters concluded with El-Sayed at 47.8% to Rogers' 45.5%.