Election analyst Larry Sabato predicts a blue wave or tsunami for Democrats
The gist
Larry Sabato says Democrats could win at least 224 House seats and reach 50-50 in the Senate.
His Crystal Ball moved 21 races toward Democrats a week before election day.
How it unfolded
- Oct 22, 2026Sabato predicts a 'major change' in the midterms, with early voting already underway for weeks.
- Oct 26, 2026Speaking to nearly 250 people in downtown Norfolk, Sabato says Democrats could win at least 224 House seats and do no worse than 50-50 in the Senate.
- Oct 27, 2026Sabato's Crystal Ball rates Virginia's 5th District race a 'Toss-Up'.