Final polls show Democrats leading key Senate races ahead of Nov. 3 midterms
The gist
New York Times/Siena final polls found Democrats ahead in Michigan, Texas, Kansas, Maine and Ohio.
The results come as experts warn fake and AI-generated polls are muddying the picture.
How it unfolded
- Oct 14, 2026A Pew Research Center analysis by Michael Dimock on polling challenges first appeared in The Hill.
- Oct 16, 2026A Data For Progress poll showed Mary Peltola (D) at 51% and Dan S. Sullivan (R) at 49% in Alaska.
- Oct 20, 2026A Saint Anselm College poll showed Chris Pappas (D) at 50% and John Sununu (R) at 43% in New Hampshire.