Atlantic low pressure system forecast
The gist
The NHC gives a Bahamas-area low a 20-30% chance to develop in seven days.
If it forms it becomes Kyle, but it should stay far from the U.S.
How it unfolded
- Nov 2, 2026As of Monday morning, the NHC gave the area northeast of the Bahamas a near 0% chance of development in 48 hours and 20% over seven days.
- Nov 2, 2026As of the NHC's 1 p.m. tropical outlook, an area of low pressure was likely to form along a weakening frontal boundary a few hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas within a couple of days, with a 30% chance over seven days.
- Nov 2, 2026Forecasters said the system could acquire subtropical characteristics late this week while drifting over the western Atlantic, with chances ending by the weekend as it moves into unfavorable conditions.