Reserve Bank tipped to hike rates
The gist
The Reserve Bank of Australia is widely expected to raise its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.85%.
A fifth hike this year would deepen pressure on mortgage holders as home values fall.
How it unfolded
- Feb 2, 2026The RBA was tipped to hike the cash rate by 0.25 per cent to 3.85 per cent at its first meeting of the year, with trimmed mean inflation at 3.3 per cent in December.
- Sep 4, 2026UBS and Capital Economics expected the RBA to raise rates by 25 basis points at its 29 September meeting.
- Sep 22, 2026All four major banks expected the RBA to lift the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.60% on September 29.