METR estimates Anthropic is doubling AI capability progress, aided by AI
The gist
Nonprofit METR estimates Anthropic is improving model capabilities on well-specified tasks about twice as fast as a year earlier.
The finding bears on Anthropic's own risk threshold ahead of its planned IPO.
How it unfolded
- Aug 20, 2025METR published a pilot study forecasting the impacts of AI R&D acceleration, finding experts and superforecasters broadly agree automation of AI R&D could dramatically accelerate AI progress.
- Sep 4, 2025Berkeley Lab described using AI and automation to speed up science and discovery, including materials discovery and tuning research instruments.
- Dec 11, 2025Science published a piece saying researchers could substantially increase scientific productivity by integrating AI into research workflows.
Key terms
- IPO
- A process in which shares of a company are sold to institutional and retail investors, often to raise capital and become publicly traded.
- S1 filing
- A registration statement filed with the SEC by a company planning to go public.
Source: Wikipedia