Man sues Kalshi over $308,000 sports betting losses

The gist

A man who lost $308,000 on sports bets sued Kalshi, seeking his money back under Washington's betting ban.
The suit adds to a widening state-by-state fight over whether Kalshi's contracts are gambling.

How it unfolded

  1. Jan 2025According to the lawsuit, Kalshi began offering sports-related contracts, later expanding into individual player performances, point spreads, game totals and combinations of sporting outcomes.
  2. Apr 2026The Third Circuit ruled New Jersey cannot regulate sports bets on prediction markets, finding Kalshi's sports-related event contracts are swaps traded on a CFTC-licensed DCM (designated contract market), so the CFTC has exclusive jurisdiction.
  3. Aug 2026A three-judge Ninth Circuit panel unanimously ruled Nevada can stop Kalshi from allowing sports bets, finding those bets are not swaps and may be regulated under state gambling laws.

Key terms

prediction market
Open markets where people trade bets on the outcomes of future events, using financial incentives to forecast probabilities.
swaps
A financial derivative in which two parties agree to exchange streams of cash flows based on an agreed formula.

Source: Wikipedia

Sources

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