Fossil CO2 emissions decrease in 2026
The gist
Global Carbon Project figures project fossil-fuel and cement CO2 emissions falling about 0.4% in 2026 to 38.2bn tonnes.
The dip is tied to the Iran conflict's oil shock, not a clean-energy peak.
How it unfolded
- Sep 16, 2026Carbon Brief analysis estimated global fossil-fuel emissions would fall around 0.5% in 2026 amid the fallout from the Hormuz crisis, with rising coal emissions more than offset by declines in oil and gas.
- Nov 9, 2026The 2026 Global Carbon Budget, the 21st annual report, was published in the journal Earth System Science Data.
- Nov 10, 2026Global Carbon Project figures projected CO2 emissions from fossil fuels and cement to fall around 0.4% in 2026 to 38.2bn tonnes of CO2.
Key terms
- Strait of Hormuz
- A narrow waterway connecting the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman, bordered by Iran and Oman.
- land-use change
- A greenhouse-gas inventory sector covering emissions and removals from human-induced land use, land-use change, and forestry activities.
Source: Wikipedia