Fox News predicts Democrats take House in midterms
The gist
Fox News predicted Democrats will win the House in November midterms, its first such forecast.
The call signals the GOP's thin 218-214 majority is at serious risk.
How it unfolded
- Oct 13, 2026Fox News Power Rankings released, forecasting Democrats favored in at least 219 House seats, Republicans at least 198, with 18 toss-ups; 20 races shifted toward Democrats.
- Oct 14, 2026Fox News predicted Democrats will win the House in the November midterm elections, its first such forecast this cycle.
- Oct 14, 2026Decision Desk HQ gives Democrats a 77 percent probability of winning the House, likely holding 235 seats compared with Republicans' 200; DDHQ shows a 56 percent probability of winning the Senate, with Republicans holding 49 seats.