Florida polls show Donalds leading Jolly as Election Day nears
The gist
Polls ahead of Florida's Nov 3 election show Republican Byron Donalds leading Democrat David Jolly for governor.
Past Florida polls have missed badly, so the size of that lead is disputed.
How it unfolded
- Sep 28, 2026 – Oct 1, 2026A Mason-Dixon poll of 625 registered Florida voters found Donalds leading Jolly 48% to 41%, with 1% for an independent and 10% undecided.
- Oct 7, 2026An NBC South Florida/Telemundo Station Group poll showed Donalds up 7 points over Jolly and Moody up 10 points over Nixon.
- Oct 10, 2026Four new polls showed the governor's race tightening: St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics had Donalds and Jolly tied 45%-45%, Targoz Market Research had Donalds 52%-42%, and Mason-Dixon had Donalds 48%-41%.